The National Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that on the morning of July 8, super typhoon Bavi was located at about 17.0N - 134.1E, with sustained winds at level 16 and gusts above level 17.
The storm is currently about 1,200 kilometres east of Luzon Island in the Philippines and about 1,500 kilometres south-east of Taiwan Island, China.
Forecasters said that over the next 24 hours, super typhoon Bavi would move mainly westwards at a relatively fast speed of about 20 kilometres per hour. From midday and the afternoon of July 9, it is expected to shift west-north-west at 20 kilometres per hour and head towards Taiwan Island.
Forecast track of super typhoon Bavi by Japan's meteorological agency (Photo: NCHMF).
According to the meteorological agency, the storm is forecast to make landfall in Fujian Province, China, late on July 11 or in the early hours of July 12, before moving further inland and gradually weakening.
Vietnam's Hydro-Meteorological Administration continues to assess the likelihood of super typhoon Bavi entering the East Sea as very low, at below 10 per cent. However, given its extreme intensity, the storm could still affect weather conditions in the East Sea.
From the early hours and during the day on July 9, south-westerly winds in the southern part of the East Sea, including the waters around Truong Sa special zone, are expected to strengthen to level 6. Around July 10-11, the entire northern, central and southern parts of the East Sea, including the waters around Hoang Sa and Truong Sa special zones, could see winds strengthen to level 6-7, with waves of 3-5 metres and very rough seas.
Bavi remains at super typhoon strength (Photo: Disaster monitoring system).
On this year's storm season, the meteorological agency said that under the influence of El Nino, the number of storms in the East Sea is forecast to be lower than the multi-year average, at about 8-10 storms. Of those, 3-5 could affect the mainland, mainly between July and September in northern Vietnam and between October and November in central Vietnam, while impacts on southern Vietnam in the final months of the year cannot be ruled out.
The name Bavi was submitted by Vietnam. In 2025, the Typhoon Committee removed the names Yagi and Trami from the international storm name list because of the exceptionally severe damage the two storms caused in the Philippines and Vietnam.
The name Yagi was later replaced by Tomo. The name Trami was replaced by Hoaban, a flower symbolising the mountains and forests of north-west Vietnam.
Also in 2025, the Typhoon Committee recorded requests from the Philippines and Vietnam to discontinue several other storm names because of the severe damage those storms caused in the two countries that year, including Wipha, Co-May, Mitag, Ragasa, Bualoi, Matmo, Kalmaegi and Fung-Wong.
The countries that contributed those names will propose replacements for the Typhoon Committee to consider and select.
